How In-Kind Transfer Design Shapes Supply Incentives: Evidence from U.S. Housing Vouchers
Abstract
Many safety-net programs deliver in-kind benefits through private providers, and program design determines who participates and at what price. We study landlord participation and pricing decisions in the U.S. Housing Choice Voucher program, linking voucher administrative data to national rental listings and to a new panel of the program’s price ceilings. We show that landlords are more likely to participate and to explicitly target voucher holders in high-poverty neighborhoods and that they adjust rents substantially toward the program’s ceiling between listing and contract. We estimate a model of landlord participation and pricing. Counterfactuals show that targeting higher price ceilings to low-poverty neighborhoods shifts voucher holders toward them more cost-effectively than uniform increases or sign-up bonuses, while stricter rent review can finance such increases without raising program spending.